Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 255.197562 288.519642 325.751478 370.660474 423.659259 484.581305 560.438773
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 205.172783 248.347795 301.012721 370.868117 462.444403 580.350047 746.895010
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 173.299692 218.795188 277.430312 360.140744 476.483229 638.574635 889.532994
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 151.339725 197.334794 259.194004 350.808802 487.257872 690.302990 1030.592263
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 140.620406 188.887377 256.425404 361.177933 526.075357 788.040148 1264.240395
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 129.686537 178.518030 249.133042 363.018449 551.057927 867.544447 1487.024484
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 118.541897 166.480500 237.712034 356.405127 560.504364 921.682839 1676.891856
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 110.843771 158.693061 231.681263 357.250966 582.066308 1000.631919 1938.044462
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 102.399396 148.925984 221.442849 349.561041 586.878405 1048.410098 2146.459957
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 96.190311 142.075025 215.131738 347.676081 601.794745 1118.681184 2429.356720
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 88.089806 131.551574 201.814164 331.757356 587.236334 1124.466655 2554.126069
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 85.986495 130.569951 204.337963 344.842043 632.102989 1268.761109 3100.790048
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 84.383515 130.392751 208.403392 361.727456 688.755104 1456.892872 3873.593841
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 80.229704 125.588117 203.908138 361.522681 708.747133 1562.050812 4446.164450
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 75.033284 118.602308 194.874205 351.155432 704.117684 1602.722454 4819.434503
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 70.500014 112.471658 186.916688 342.113782 701.180680 1647.593125 5236.364786
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 68.834605 111.292448 188.046901 352.158948 745.649840 1838.371888 6368.409453
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 66.267702 108.304419 185.479317 353.941695 769.982098 1977.310401 7386.464404
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 62.950322 103.732972 179.495375 347.535585 772.198222 2048.169572 8136.709229
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 60.695040 100.980626 176.860752 348.354976 793.768155 2189.407525 9389.511413
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 57.720805 96.709136 170.894802 340.904911 791.566773 2249.148644 10238.499082
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 55.533969 93.802725 167.479814 339.078542 804.984314 2369.805071 11605.205931
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 52.144098 88.428521 158.690690 323.651357 776.913571 2328.461761 11840.450099